All Aboard the Weather Roller Coaster

[dyndrite]

Artic surge heads south to Florida after clipper dust upper Tennessee valley and North East. Cold last till Next Friday or Saturday.

High moves off the East coast next weekend. South Southwest winds at 15-25 mph develop central planes with night time lows in the 50’ as far north as Iowa.

Strong storm moves into the Pacific North West. Snow maybe in Seattle for the visiting Redskins, Go Skins.

After one Week of near record warmth in the East, break is over. Storm moves out of southern Rockies and moves North East, Artic air moves South and East. I think I have seen this dog and pony show before.

Dyndrite

[dyndrite]

Latest guidance has cut the major warm up by a day or two and set up a major pattern change . Broad scale trough across the US will mean much colder air coming back quicker.

The ride looks like much below normal East coast Tuesday through Friday Warm air Midwest Thursday through Monday then Storm and cold air returns.

Warm up in Alaska will push artic air back into the central and eastern US with storm track moving south. The Steve Ridge moves to the Western US. Funny thing about weather, It always averages out. Get ready South and East, time to pay the piper.

The drought in the SE US has been canceled due to rain.

Dyndrite

[Steve]

the blow torch is coming as the trough deepens in the west.

[Midwestwx15]

Originally Posted by Steve

the blow torch is coming as the trough deepens in the west.

Yes but it won't last long. The NAO is expected to dip again mid-month and bring colder weather back to the central and eastern U.S.

[Steve]

Originally Posted by Midwestwx15

Yes but it won't last long. The NAO is expected to dip again mid-month and bring colder weather back to the central and eastern U.S.

I noticed the 240 hr ecmwf is hinting at that, but is it transient is the question. However other models do not. http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/wx/forecasts/pn.png

[dyndrite]

Guys you got to take those models with a grain of salt. If you look at the long range the US has no Dominate pattern. Sort of a mega Col if you will. Climatology says it is cold in January and February.

The warm return can only be transient without dominate blocking patterns. They aint none. All aboard.

Dyndrite

[Steve]

Originally Posted by dyndrite

Guys you got to take those models with a grain of salt. If you look at the long range the US has no Dominate pattern. Sort of a mega Col if you will. Climatology says it is cold in January and February.

The warm return can only be transient without dominate blocking patterns. They aint none. All aboard.

Dyndrite

Right. With this La Nina induced strong Pacific Jet the pattern will remain progressive with few if any signs of blocking probably until late winter or early spring.

[Midwestwx15]

The EPO is + which is causing the PACIFIC JET to be zonal which is also causing quick storm-systems.

[dyndrite]

Temperatures in the low to mid 60’s over the great Ice Storm areas of OK. MO. This Mon morning.

Looks like fist storm to ride NE will cool it off then More dynamic storm Wed and Thur.

POSSIBLE TORNADOS, Miss, Ala, Ga, Fl.


Dyndrite

[dyndrite]

Hope you guys did not throw your tickets away. Blizzard conditions in the Midwest and heavy snow in Illinois will be a distant memory as major warm-up sets in for the South and East Coast.

Areas of northern Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota and the Dakotas can hear about it on TV. As a series of little storms deposit 1-6 inches of snow.

Temps in the south will range from the mid to upper 80’s southern Texas, 70’s over the deep South and South East. 60’s for morning lows in the Tri-State area by Tuesday Morning. Will need to monitor for Sever weather as Cold air slides South by mid-week.

Short lived cool down then Warm air again.

All aboard.

Dyndrite