Dyndrites Winter Forecast.

[dyndrite]

The winter of 2007-2008 will feature below average Temps for most of the country. Near average for the west and SW.

This year will feature the return of the Gulf of Mexico low. The storm track will lay a great snow pack in southern Canada in November. Northern US in December and Mid Atlantic in January.

Dyndrite

[rainstorm]

that sounds awfully cold

[Steve]

what about that heat ridge in the southeast. more likely storm track will be further north

[dyndrite]

I see it Steve.

I am thinking as the snow pack develops further South and East it should move south and East as well. It did in 95-96. That being said it is hard to tell how far the storm track will move. The weight of the cold air and the topography should slide down the Eastern Seaboard late December and January.

Long rang forecast are like first wives, you never know how they will work out. Just ask the boys at the Hurricane Center.

Dyndrite

[traci1972]

they are saying will be active in IA again.

[dyndrite]

Up-Date.

The snow pack has progressed South and East. In a lot of the areas we had sever cold be fore the pack fell, Iowa, Northern MO, Ill. And Michigan as well as Northern Indiana and Ohio.



There is an old saying that the winter weather makes itself with oceanic influence. Expect a moderation in the mid west and North East . The storm track will try and move back North. This will just put some new snow in southern and Eastern Canada.

The January Surge is not far away. We may bring back an old term, “Cold Wave.” Artic fronts will have a hard time modifying in this scenario.

Dyndrite

[Steve]

Even with the snow pack to the southwest we got up to 35 here today. Guess you can't beat that December sunshine.

[dyndrite]

December sunshine can be warm and mild. January can be warm too, It is 68 as I type. I believe we were discussing Winter outlooks.

Looks to me like the January thaw came early. It usually gets here about the third week in January. That was a heck of a fall and early winter. An Ice storm of epic proportions, severe cold and snow in the western Mississippi Valley. Heavy snow in the Rockies. Hell they had 11 feet in one storm. What a time.

Old weatherman rule 14-225. El’nino is warm and wet. La’nia is normal. Normal means all bets are off. If it was dry it will be wet and if it was warm it will be cold.

Old weatherman rule 14-227. Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once.

Dyndrite

[dyndrite]

Up-date

Artic air is heading south and the storm track has moved south. Expect period of osculation in the storm track. The next few weeks will feature winter storms in the south with snow to the north. Snow , Ice and cold rain south.

As high pressure areas break off from the main cold air mass over Canada and move southeast expect storms to move out of the Rockies on the back side and deposit heavy snow in the Mid west. Moderating times in the south with periods of rain and moderating temperatures then cold with Southern Storms. I have numbered them and I forecast 3 to 4.

This is the best pattern possible if you like storms in the south. Periodic Artic intrusions will make it below normal at times. A major Artic intrusion is not out of the question in February to make up for the warm surge in January. Tick for tack, so to speak.

Dyndrite

[dyndrite]

You guys got to know. An old weatherman is a good weatherman.

Dyndrite